November 12, 1999

MEMORANDUM TO: OPINION LEADERS

FROM: WILLIAM KRISTOL

SUBJECT: China

We want to draw your attention to a speech given today by presidential candidate Steve Forbes at the Nixon Library. In it, Forbes offers the boldest analysis of any of the presidential candidates so far of the challenge posed by China to the United States and the appropriate American response. Here are a few highlights:

“No More Business as Usual”

“President Clinton calls his China policy ‘constructive engagement.’ I call it a study in confusion and mixed signals, often degenerating into appeasement....If the next U.S. administration continues this drift and zigzagging, our children and grandchildren will ultimately pay the price....It is time to set a new course for American foreign policy in Asia....No more business as usual.”

“My policy will sound confrontational to official Chinese ears. In truth, it is less confrontational and less dangerous than hiding our convictions and commitments behind a fog of appeasing rhetoric.”

“I realize...I am offending the Chinese stricture against -- in their words -- interference in their internal affairs.” I might be accused of “espousing cultural imperialism. I am not. I am advocating the peaceful application of the same universal principles that Ronald Reagan applied to the peoples of the former Soviet Union.”

“China has nothing to fear from accepting freedom, and everything to gain. America has nothing to fear from advancing freedom, and everything to gain.”

Benchmarks

“As President I will make clear to China the rules of engagment. I will also set clear benchmarks to gauge China’s seriousness about a positive relationship with United States. For example:”

On Taiwan : China must “cease and desist” from threatening Taiwan.

On proliferation: China must “stop selling weapons of mass destruction to rogue nations.”

On ballistic missile defenses: China “must drop its opposition to” deployment of “defense systems since they pose no threat to China.”

On civil rights in China: China “must stop religious persecution and immediately begin releasing political and religious prisoners.”

Trade, Security and American Power

“We may very well need to revoke MFN. But first we need a real China policy, a tough China policy....And we need to begin using the economic and diplomatic tools at our disposal to effect real change in China: tough sanctions on Chinese military-owned companies, tough sanctions on Chinese companies using slave labor, tough sanctions on Chinese companies trafficking in weapons of mass destruction, and continuous, high-profile condemnations of Chinese human rights abuses in every international forum possible.”

“As President...I will put China’s leaders on notice: We want a peaceful and constructive relationship with you. But you must understand the rules of engagement. And if you violate them...I will not hesitate to for one moment to revoke Most Favored Nation trade status. I will never sacrifice American security or values on the altar of trade.”

“America is the world's only economic superpower, and it's ridiculous to take such a weak position with an emerging rival.”

“America must be absolutely committed to remain the premier military power in the Pacific...[W]e will strengthen our alliances with key countries in the region to counterbalance the Chinese threat.”

Taiwan

“We will make it clear that we will defend Taiwan from a Chinese attack. As President, I will sign the bipartisan Taiwan Security Enhancement Act offered by Senator Jesse Helms and Senator Robert Torricelli.”

“Taiwan should be permitted entrance into the community of world commerce. They have made extraordinary progress in moving toward free markets and free elections and they should be rewarded for it....Yes to Taiwan in the WTO. No to China. Beijing hasn't earned it, and we shouldn't give it. Period.”