May 13, 2002

MEMORANDUM TO: OPINION LEADERS

FROM: GARY SCHMITT

SUBJECT: Defense Budget

I would like to draw your attention to the article in the current Weekly Standard (“Put Your Money Where Your War Is”) pointing out the continued shortfalls in Pentagon budgets.

The long-term disparity between U.S. strategic ends and military means that developed during the Clinton years has not been remedied by the Bush Administration. Stripped of immediate war-related expenses and mandatory personnel, health care and other expenses, the president’s 2003 defense budget request includes just $10 billion in new military capabilities. And, as a measure of gross domestic product, the Bush defense plan foresees a decline in military spending after this year.

Though President Bush repeatedly has said that the war on terrorism will be a long and difficult struggle, there appears to be no urgent effort to rebuild U.S. military forces after eight years of Clinton Administration neglect. Despite the demands of current operations -- and with an invasion of Iraq very much in prospect -- Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld opposes any increases in military manpower. And reports in the press suggest that the termination of the Army’s Crusader howitzer is simply the first in a series of cuts in weapons programs.

In sum, any hopes for a revitalized American military power must rest on the military’s “transformation” and a “revolution in military affairs.” But that’s a project that will take several decades to invent and to complete. In the meantime, U.S. troops will continue to have to do more with less. That is not a recipe for certain victory.